Welcome to Pekin Hardy Strauss Wealth Management’s latest episode of Managing Your Money. In this episode we discuss the rapidly developing conflict between the United States and Iran, why it matters, what it could signal geopolitically, and what it may mean for investors. Our team shares a market-focused framework for tracking key signals as events evolve, including oil and natural gas prices, gold, Treasury yields, currencies, and international equity markets. We also discuss the possibility that markets are expecting a shorter conflict and review the risks if it becomes more prolonged and inflationary.
*The information and data in this video do not constitute as legal, tax, accounting, investment, or other professional advice. The views expressed are those of the author(s) as of the date of publication of this report and are subject to change at any time due to changes in market or economic conditions. The comments should not be construed as a recommendation of any particular strategy. Although information has been obtained from and is based upon sources Pekin Hardy believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. There are no assurances that any predicted results will actually occur. This video is prepared by Pekin Hardy Strauss, Inc. (“Pekin Hardy”, dba Pekin Hardy Strauss Wealth Management) for informational purposes only. The S&P 500 Index includes a representative sample of 500 companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy, focusing on the large-cap segment of the market. NASDAQ refers to the Nasdaq Stock Market, a U.S.-based electronic securities exchange where shares of publicly traded companies are bought and sold. Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE) is Israel’s primary securities exchange, where publicly traded company shares and other securities are traded. This video also incorporates perspectives and research from TA-35 Index and the GeoMacro Alpha Report.
00:00 Welcome and Intro
00:58 Why This War Matters
01:12 Proxy War With China
04:02 Oil Leverage Strategy
06:24 Iran Chaos Tactics
10:43 Gulf Retaliation Risk
12:49 Logistics And Munitions
14:01 Market Moves And Outlook
14:32 Gold And Global Equities
17:11 AI Data Centers Targeted
18:46 Inflation Boom Or Bust
21:35 Tel Aviv Market Signal
23:50 Markets Still Calm
24:48 Israel Market Proxy Debate
27:38 When Panic Forces Policy
31:06 Why Strike Now
32:29 War History Market Returns
35:59 Oil Shocks And Inflation Bust
38:52 Market Manipulation Theory
43:03 Portfolio Moves And Wrap