When will the Federal Reserve Pivot?

When will the Federal Reserve Pivot?

“If you don’t have price stability, the economy is really not going to work the way it’s supposed to.” ─ Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, June 2022 At the end of May, the year-over-year inflation rate reached 8.6%, its highest level recorded since 1981. Due to...
Investing During Interesting Times

Investing During Interesting Times

“It’s no wonder that truth is stranger than fiction. Fiction has to make sense.” ─ Mark Twain Usually, when we write our quarterly investor commentary, we perform a deep dive analysis into one particular subject that offers long-term investment relevance for our...
10 Predictions for 2022

10 Predictions for 2022

“Never let the future disturb you. You will meet it, if you have to, with the same weapons of reason which today arm you against the present.” ─ Marcus Aurelius, “Meditations” Making predictions is always tricky, and short-term forecasts are seemingly more difficult...
The Guns and Butter Era Redux

The Guns and Butter Era Redux

“Viewed in the abstract, the Federal Reserve System had the power to abort the inflation at its incipient stage fifteen years ago or at any later point, and it has the power to end it today. At any time within that period, it could have restricted the money supply and...